Match Analysis

EspanyolvsAtlético Madrid

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
28%
45%
Espanyol winDrawAtlético Madrid win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
0.87Avg goals scored1.74
1.02Avg goals conceded0.77
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Espanyol xG

Expected goals

1.4

Atlético Madrid xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

9%

0–2

9%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

Home

Espanyol

Espanyol

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

LLWWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Espanyol's current form?

Espanyol have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Espanyol Win27%
Draw28%
Atlético Madrid Win45%
BTTS48%
Over 2.543%