Match Analysis

EspanyolvsBarcelona

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
19%
63%
Espanyol winDrawBarcelona win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.80
0.87Avg goals scored3.78
1.02Avg goals conceded1.17
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Espanyol xG

Expected goals

2.3

Barcelona xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

0–2

8%

1–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Espanyol

Espanyol

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Barcelona

Barcelona

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

3.8 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Espanyol vs Barcelona?

Barcelona is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Espanyol's current form?

Espanyol have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Espanyol Win18%
Draw19%
Barcelona Win63%
BTTS63%
Over 2.568%