Match Analysis

EspanyolvsCelta Vigo

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
32%
31%
Espanyol winDrawCelta Vigo win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
0.87Avg goals scored0.72
1.02Avg goals conceded0.83
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Espanyol xG

Expected goals

0.9

Celta Vigo xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

15%

1–0

15%

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

2–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Espanyol

Espanyol

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Espanyol vs Celta Vigo?

Espanyol is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Espanyol's current form?

Espanyol have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Espanyol Win37%
Draw32%
Celta Vigo Win31%
BTTS38%
Over 2.530%