Espanyol vs Real Madrid
🇪🇸 La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Espanyol xG
Expected goals
1.6
Real Madrid xG
40%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
16%
0–2
13%
1–1
11%
0–0
10%
1–2
9%
0–3
7%
Home
Espanyol
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Real Madrid
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Espanyol vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Espanyol's current form?
Espanyol have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 La Liga meetings, Espanyol won 1, drew 0, and Real Madrid won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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