Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Getafe xG
Expected goals
1.7
Atlético Madrid xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
0–2
11%
1–1
11%
1–2
10%
0–0
7%
1–0
7%
Home
Getafe
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Atlético Madrid
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?
Atlético Madrid is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Getafe's current form?
Getafe have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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