Match Analysis

GetafevsAtlético Madrid

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
23%
57%
Getafe winDrawAtlético Madrid win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
0.75Avg goals scored1.74
1.68Avg goals conceded0.77
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Getafe xG

Expected goals

1.7

Atlético Madrid xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

0–2

11%

1–1

11%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

1–0

7%

Home

Getafe

Getafe

LLWWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

LLWWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Getafe's current form?

Getafe have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Getafe Win20%
Draw23%
Atlético Madrid Win57%
BTTS49%
Over 2.548%