Match Analysis

MálagavsElche

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
26%
41%
Málaga winDrawElche win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
0.90Avg goals scored1.00
1.99Avg goals conceded1.33
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Málaga xG

Expected goals

1.5

Elche xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–2

9%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–2

7%

Home

Málaga

Málaga

LLWDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Elche

Elche

LLWWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Málaga vs Elche?

Elche is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Málaga's current form?

Málaga have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Málaga Win33%
Draw26%
Elche Win41%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%