Match Analysis

MálagavsReal Sociedad

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
21%
54%
Málaga winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
0.90Avg goals scored1.90
1.99Avg goals conceded1.53
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Málaga xG

Expected goals

2

Real Sociedad xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Málaga

Málaga

LLWDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

WDLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Málaga vs Real Sociedad?

Real Sociedad is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Málaga's current form?

Málaga have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Málaga Win25%
Draw21%
Real Sociedad Win54%
BTTS65%
Over 2.566%