Match Analysis

OsasunavsVillarreal

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
25%
48%
Osasuna winDrawVillarreal win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
1.01Avg goals scored1.30
1.91Avg goals conceded0.99
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Osasuna xG

Expected goals

1.6

Villarreal xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Osasuna

Osasuna

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Villarreal

Villarreal

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Osasuna vs Villarreal?

Villarreal is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Osasuna's current form?

Osasuna have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Osasuna Win27%
Draw25%
Villarreal Win48%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%