Match Analysis

Rayo VallecanovsCelta Vigo

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
28%
35%
Rayo Vallecano winDrawCelta Vigo win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.24Avg goals scored0.72
1.65Avg goals conceded0.83
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Rayo Vallecano xG

Expected goals

1.1

Celta Vigo xG

47%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

12%

0–1

11%

0–0

10%

2–1

8%

1–2

7%

Home

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

LWWLD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?

Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?

Rayo Vallecano have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Rayo Vallecano Win37%
Draw28%
Celta Vigo Win35%
BTTS47%
Over 2.540%