Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
Real Madrid xG
Expected goals
0.9
Alavés xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
10%
2–1
9%
3–0
9%
1–0
8%
3–1
8%
1–1
7%
Home
Real Madrid
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
2.6 / 0.7
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Alavés
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.7
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs Alavés?
Real Madrid is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Madrid's current form?
Real Madrid have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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