โšก Match Analysis

Real Madrid vs Malaga

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
21%
16%
Real Madrid winDrawMalaga win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.00
1.73Avg goals scored0.00
0.89Avg goals conceded0.00
4โ€“0โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)0โ€“0โ€“0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Real Madrid xG

Expected goals

0.9

Malaga xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“0

11%

2โ€“0

11%

1โ€“1

10%

2โ€“1

10%

3โ€“0

7%

3โ€“1

7%

Home

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

โšฝ

Malaga

No data

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs Malaga?

Real Madrid is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Madrid's current form?

Real Madrid have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Real Madrid Win63%
Draw21%
Malaga Win16%
BTTS51%
Over 2.555%

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