Real Madrid vs Malaga
๐ช๐ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Real Madrid xG
Expected goals
0.9
Malaga xG
51%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1โ0
11%
2โ0
11%
1โ1
10%
2โ1
10%
3โ0
7%
3โ1
7%
Home
Real Madrid
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Malaga
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs Malaga?
Real Madrid is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Madrid's current form?
Real Madrid have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1โ0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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