Match Analysis

Real MadridvsOsasuna

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

78%
14%
8%
Real Madrid winDrawOsasuna win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game1.40
2.61Avg goals scored1.01
0.70Avg goals conceded1.91
5–0–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.8

Real Madrid xG

Expected goals

0.9

Osasuna xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

9%

3–0

9%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

1–1

6%

Home

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.6 / 0.7

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

Osasuna

Osasuna

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs Osasuna?

Real Madrid is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Madrid's current form?

Real Madrid have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Real Madrid Win78%
Draw14%
Osasuna Win8%
BTTS56%
Over 2.571%