Match Analysis

Real MadridvsSevilla

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

72%
16%
12%
Real Madrid winDrawSevilla win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game1.40
2.61Avg goals scored1.30
0.70Avg goals conceded1.64
5–0–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Real Madrid xG

Expected goals

1

Sevilla xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.6 / 0.7

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

Sevilla

Sevilla

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs Sevilla?

Real Madrid is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Madrid's current form?

Real Madrid have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Real Madrid Win72%
Draw16%
Sevilla Win12%
BTTS59%
Over 2.570%