โšก Match Analysis

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
25%
39%
Real Sociedad winDrawCelta Vigo win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game2.00
1.59Avg goals scored1.32
1.96Avg goals conceded1.31
0โ€“3โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“1โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Real Sociedad xG

Expected goals

1.9

Celta Vigo xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

8%

1โ€“2

8%

2โ€“1

8%

2โ€“2

7%

0โ€“1

5%

1โ€“3

5%

Home

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

WDLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Real Sociedadall timeCelta Vigo
2W
2D
2W
25 Jan 26
Real Sociedad3โ€“1Celta Vigo
19 Oct 25
Celta Vigo1โ€“1Real Sociedad
13 May 25
Real Sociedad0โ€“1Celta Vigo
21 Dec 24
Celta Vigo2โ€“0Real Sociedad
20 Jan 24
Celta Vigo0โ€“1Real Sociedad
19 Aug 23
Real Sociedad1โ€“1Celta Vigo

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo?

Celta Vigo is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Sociedad's current form?

Real Sociedad have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Real Sociedad won 2, drew 2, and Celta Vigo won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Real Sociedad Win36%
Draw25%
Celta Vigo Win39%
BTTS71%
Over 2.571%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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