Match Analysis

SevillavsAlavés

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
24%
28%
Sevilla winDrawAlavés win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.30Avg goals scored1.01
1.63Avg goals conceded1.71
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Sevilla xG

Expected goals

1.3

Alavés xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Sevilla

Sevilla

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Alavés

Alavés

WDLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Alavés?

Sevilla is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sevilla's current form?

Sevilla have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sevilla Win48%
Draw24%
Alavés Win28%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%