Match Analysis

SevillavsRacing Santander

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

52%
21%
27%
Sevilla winDrawRacing Santander win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
1.30Avg goals scored1.33
1.64Avg goals conceded2.34
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Sevilla xG

Expected goals

1.5

Racing Santander xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Sevilla

Sevilla

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Racing Santander

Racing Santander

WLWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Racing Santander?

Sevilla is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sevilla's current form?

Sevilla have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sevilla Win52%
Draw21%
Racing Santander Win27%
BTTS68%
Over 2.570%