โšก Match Analysis

Valencia vs Barcelona

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ La Liga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
21%
52%
Valencia winDrawBarcelona win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.80
1.71Avg goals scored1.77
1.41Avg goals conceded1.00
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“0โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Valencia xG

Expected goals

1.8

Barcelona xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

10%

1โ€“2

9%

0โ€“1

7%

0โ€“2

7%

2โ€“1

7%

1โ€“0

6%

Home

Valencia

Valencia

WWDWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Barcelona

Barcelona

LWLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Valenciaall timeBarcelona
1W
1D
4W
23 May 26
Valencia3โ€“1Barcelona
14 Sep 25
Barcelona6โ€“0Valencia
26 Jan 25
Barcelona7โ€“1Valencia
17 Aug 24
Valencia1โ€“2Barcelona
29 Apr 24
Barcelona4โ€“2Valencia
16 Dec 23
Valencia1โ€“1Barcelona

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Valencia vs Barcelona?

Barcelona is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Valencia's current form?

Valencia have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Valencia won 1, drew 1, and Barcelona won 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Valencia Win27%
Draw21%
Barcelona Win52%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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