Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Valencia xG
Expected goals
1.5
Villarreal xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
12%
1–1
12%
0–2
9%
1–2
9%
0–0
8%
1–0
8%
Home
Valencia
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.7 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Villarreal
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Valencia vs Villarreal?
Villarreal is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Valencia's current form?
Valencia have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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