Match Analysis

VillarrealvsEspanyol

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
28%
27%
Villarreal winDrawEspanyol win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.80
1.29Avg goals scored0.87
0.99Avg goals conceded1.02
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Villarreal xG

Expected goals

0.9

Espanyol xG

43%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

14%

1–1

13%

0–0

11%

0–1

10%

2–0

9%

2–1

8%

Home

Villarreal

Villarreal

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Espanyol

Espanyol

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Espanyol?

Villarreal is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Villarreal's current form?

Villarreal have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Villarreal Win45%
Draw28%
Espanyol Win27%
BTTS43%
Over 2.538%