Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Villarreal xG
Expected goals
1.1
Rayo Vallecano xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–0
10%
2–1
10%
2–0
9%
0–1
7%
0–0
6%
Home
Villarreal
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Rayo Vallecano
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano?
Villarreal is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Villarreal's current form?
Villarreal have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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