Match Analysis

VillarrealvsSevilla

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
24%
26%
Villarreal winDrawSevilla win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.40
1.30Avg goals scored1.30
0.99Avg goals conceded1.64
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Villarreal xG

Expected goals

1.1

Sevilla xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

10%

2–1

10%

2–0

9%

0–1

7%

0–0

6%

Home

Villarreal

Villarreal

WLLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Sevilla

Sevilla

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Sevilla?

Villarreal is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Villarreal's current form?

Villarreal have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Villarreal Win50%
Draw24%
Sevilla Win26%
BTTS55%
Over 2.553%