Match Analysis

AJ AuxerrevsToulouse

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
22%
50%
AJ Auxerre winDrawToulouse win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
1.20Avg goals scored1.56
2.29Avg goals conceded1.25
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

AJ Auxerre xG

Expected goals

1.9

Toulouse xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

Home

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

LLDWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Toulouse

Toulouse

WLDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AJ Auxerre vs Toulouse?

Toulouse is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AJ Auxerre's current form?

AJ Auxerre have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AJ Auxerre Win28%
Draw22%
Toulouse Win50%
BTTS64%
Over 2.564%