Match Analysis

AngersvsLens

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
23%
50%
Angers winDrawLens win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.20
0.88Avg goals scored1.65
2.09Avg goals conceded1.30
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Angers xG

Expected goals

1.9

Lens xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–3

6%

Home

Angers

Angers

LDLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Lens

Lens

LLWLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Angers vs Lens?

Lens is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Angers's current form?

Angers have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Angers Win27%
Draw23%
Lens Win50%
BTTS62%
Over 2.562%