Match Analysis

AngersvsMarseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
19%
63%
Angers winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game2.40
0.72Avg goals scored2.42
2.07Avg goals conceded1.34
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Angers xG

Expected goals

2.3

Marseille xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

0–2

8%

1–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Angers

Angers

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.1

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Angers vs Marseille?

Marseille is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Angers's current form?

Angers have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Angers Win18%
Draw19%
Marseille Win63%
BTTS63%
Over 2.568%