Match Analysis

AS MonacovsLille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
27%
42%
AS Monaco winDrawLille win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.17Avg goals scored1.35
1.31Avg goals conceded0.70
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

AS Monaco xG

Expected goals

1.3

Lille xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

1–0

10%

0–0

9%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

Home

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Lille

Lille

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Monaco vs Lille?

Lille is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Monaco's current form?

AS Monaco have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Monaco Win31%
Draw27%
Lille Win42%
BTTS49%
Over 2.543%