Match Analysis

BrestvsLyon

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
25%
34%
Brest winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.82Avg goals scored1.56
1.19Avg goals conceded0.88
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Brest xG

Expected goals

1.4

Lyon xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Brest

Brest

WLDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brest vs Lyon?

Brest is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brest's current form?

Brest have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Brest Win41%
Draw25%
Lyon Win34%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%