Match Analysis

BrestvsNice

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
22%
33%
Brest winDrawNice win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.40
1.82Avg goals scored1.91
1.19Avg goals conceded1.41
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Brest xG

Expected goals

1.5

Nice xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Brest

Brest

WLDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Nice

Nice

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.4

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brest vs Nice?

Brest is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brest's current form?

Brest have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Brest Win45%
Draw22%
Nice Win33%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%