Match Analysis

Le MansvsLille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
25%
50%
Le Mans winDrawLille win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.60
0.97Avg goals scored1.35
1.83Avg goals conceded0.70
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Le Mans xG

Expected goals

1.6

Lille xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

12%

1–1

12%

0–2

10%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

1–0

7%

Home

Le Mans

Le Mans

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Lille

Lille

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Lille?

Lille is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Le Mans Win25%
Draw25%
Lille Win50%
BTTS50%
Over 2.548%