Match Analysis

Le MansvsLyon

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
25%
45%
Le Mans winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game0.80
0.97Avg goals scored1.29
1.83Avg goals conceded1.07
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Le Mans xG

Expected goals

1.5

Lyon xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Le Mans

Le Mans

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

LDWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Lyon?

Lyon is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Le Mans Win30%
Draw25%
Lyon Win45%
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%