Match Analysis

Le MansvsToulouse

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
24%
47%
Le Mans winDrawToulouse win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.60
0.97Avg goals scored1.56
1.83Avg goals conceded1.25
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Le Mans xG

Expected goals

1.7

Toulouse xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Le Mans

Le Mans

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Toulouse

Toulouse

WLDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Toulouse?

Toulouse is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Le Mans Win29%
Draw24%
Toulouse Win47%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%