โšก Match Analysis

Lens vs Lorient

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Ligue 1 ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
21%
24%
Lens winDrawLorient win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
1.95Avg goals scored1.71
1.21Avg goals conceded1.49
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“1โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Lens xG

Expected goals

1.4

Lorient xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“1

9%

1โ€“1

8%

2โ€“0

7%

3โ€“1

7%

1โ€“0

6%

1โ€“2

6%

Home

Lens

Lens

WWLWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Lorient

Lorient

LWDLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Lensall timeLorient
2W
1D
1W
14 Mar 26
Lorient2โ€“1Lens
2 Nov 25
Lens3โ€“0Lorient
3 May 24
Lens2โ€“0Lorient
4 Nov 23
Lorient0โ€“0Lens

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Lorient?

Lens is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Lens won 2, drew 1, and Lorient won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Lens Win55%
Draw21%
Lorient Win24%
BTTS67%
Over 2.570%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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