Match Analysis

LensvsLyon

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
25%
34%
Lens winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.80
1.54Avg goals scored1.29
1.42Avg goals conceded1.07
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Lens xG

Expected goals

1.4

Lyon xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Lens

Lens

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

LDWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Lyon?

Lens is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lens Win41%
Draw25%
Lyon Win34%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%