Match Analysis

LensvsParis FC

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
24%
40%
Lens winDrawParis FC win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.80
1.54Avg goals scored1.76
1.42Avg goals conceded1.10
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Lens xG

Expected goals

1.6

Paris FC xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Lens

Lens

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Paris FC

Paris FC

WWLWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Paris FC?

Paris FC is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lens Win36%
Draw24%
Paris FC Win40%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%