Match Analysis

LillevsAJ Auxerre

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

62%
20%
18%
Lille winDrawAJ Auxerre win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
1.35Avg goals scored1.20
0.70Avg goals conceded2.29
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Lille xG

Expected goals

1

AJ Auxerre xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Lille

Lille

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

LLDWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs AJ Auxerre?

Lille is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win62%
Draw20%
AJ Auxerre Win18%
BTTS55%
Over 2.560%