Match Analysis

LillevsBrest

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
26%
34%
Lille winDrawBrest win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
1.35Avg goals scored1.85
0.70Avg goals conceded0.98
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Lille xG

Expected goals

1.2

Brest xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

11%

0–1

10%

0–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Lille

Lille

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Brest

Brest

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Brest?

Lille is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win40%
Draw26%
Brest Win34%
BTTS51%
Over 2.546%