Match Analysis

LillevsLens

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
25%
26%
Lille winDrawLens win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.60
1.35Avg goals scored1.54
0.70Avg goals conceded1.42
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Lille xG

Expected goals

1.1

Lens xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

11%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Lille

Lille

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Lens

Lens

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Lens?

Lille is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win49%
Draw25%
Lens Win26%
BTTS53%
Over 2.551%