Match Analysis

LillevsStrasbourg

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
21%
22%
Lille winDrawStrasbourg win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.60
1.35Avg goals scored1.80
0.70Avg goals conceded2.25
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Lille xG

Expected goals

1.2

Strasbourg xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

8%

2–0

8%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Lille

Lille

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

LWLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Strasbourg?

Lille is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win57%
Draw21%
Strasbourg Win22%
BTTS60%
Over 2.562%