Match Analysis

LorientvsAJ Auxerre

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
24%
21%
Lorient winDrawAJ Auxerre win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
0.90Avg goals scored1.20
0.71Avg goals conceded2.29
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Lorient xG

Expected goals

1

AJ Auxerre xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Lorient

Lorient

WLDWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

LLDWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lorient vs AJ Auxerre?

Lorient is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lorient's current form?

Lorient have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lorient Win55%
Draw24%
AJ Auxerre Win21%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%