Match Analysis

LorientvsAS Monaco

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
28%
28%
Lorient winDrawAS Monaco win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
0.90Avg goals scored1.17
0.71Avg goals conceded1.31
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Lorient xG

Expected goals

1

AS Monaco xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

10%

0–1

10%

2–0

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Lorient

Lorient

WLDWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lorient vs AS Monaco?

Lorient is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lorient's current form?

Lorient have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lorient Win44%
Draw28%
AS Monaco Win28%
BTTS46%
Over 2.540%