Match Analysis

LorientvsBrest

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
27%
41%
Lorient winDrawBrest win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
0.67Avg goals scored1.82
0.85Avg goals conceded1.19
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Lorient xG

Expected goals

1.3

Brest xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

1–0

10%

0–0

9%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Lorient

Lorient

LDWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Brest

Brest

WLDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lorient vs Brest?

Brest is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lorient's current form?

Lorient have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lorient Win32%
Draw27%
Brest Win41%
BTTS49%
Over 2.543%