Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Lorient xG
Expected goals
1.3
Brest xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
0–1
12%
1–0
10%
0–0
9%
0–2
8%
1–2
8%
Home
Lorient
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.7 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Brest
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lorient vs Brest?
Brest is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lorient's current form?
Lorient have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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