Match Analysis

LorientvsLille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
31%
39%
Lorient winDrawLille win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
0.67Avg goals scored1.21
0.85Avg goals conceded0.63
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Lorient xG

Expected goals

1.1

Lille xG

40%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

15%

0–0

14%

1–1

13%

1–0

12%

0–2

8%

1–2

7%

Home

Lorient

Lorient

LDWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Lille

Lille

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lorient vs Lille?

Lille is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lorient's current form?

Lorient have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lorient Win30%
Draw31%
Lille Win39%
BTTS40%
Over 2.532%