Match Analysis

LyonvsAS Monaco

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
26%
29%
Lyon winDrawAS Monaco win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
1.29Avg goals scored1.17
1.07Avg goals conceded1.31
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Lyon xG

Expected goals

1.1

AS Monaco xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

11%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

2–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Lyon

Lyon

LDWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lyon vs AS Monaco?

Lyon is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lyon's current form?

Lyon have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lyon Win45%
Draw26%
AS Monaco Win29%
BTTS52%
Over 2.548%