โšก Match Analysis

Lyon vs Le Havre Ac

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Ligue 1 ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
24%
38%
Lyon winDrawLe Havre AC win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.20
1.87Avg goals scored1.49
2.06Avg goals conceded1.24
2โ€“0โ€“3Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“3โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Lyon xG

Expected goals

2

Le Havre AC xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

8%

1โ€“2

8%

2โ€“1

7%

2โ€“2

7%

1โ€“3

5%

2โ€“3

5%

Home

Lyon

Lyon

LLLWW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.9 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Le Havre AC

Le Havre AC

WLDDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Lyonall timeLe Havre Ac
3W
2D
1W
15 Mar 26
Le Havre AC0โ€“0Lyon
14 Dec 25
Lyon1โ€“0Le Havre AC
16 Mar 25
Lyon4โ€“2Le Havre AC
20 Oct 24
Le Havre AC0โ€“4Lyon
14 Jan 24
Le Havre AC3โ€“1Lyon
17 Sep 23
Lyon0โ€“0Le Havre AC

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lyon vs Le Havre Ac?

This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.

What is Lyon's current form?

Lyon have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Lyon won 3, drew 2, and Le Havre Ac won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Lyon Win38%
Draw24%
Le Havre AC Win38%
BTTS72%
Over 2.573%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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