Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.1
Marseille xG
Expected goals
1.2
Le Havre AC xG
67%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
2–0
7%
3–0
7%
4–1
6%
1–1
5%
Home
Marseille
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.4 / 1.3
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Le Havre AC
PPG
0.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.6
Last 5
0W 0D 5L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Marseille vs Le Havre AC?
Marseille is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Marseille's current form?
Marseille have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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