Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Marseille xG
Expected goals
1.2
Le Mans xG
64%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
2–0
8%
3–1
8%
1–1
7%
1–0
6%
2–2
6%
Home
Marseille
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.4 / 1.3
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Le Mans
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.8
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Marseille vs Le Mans?
Marseille is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Marseille's current form?
Marseille have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Ligue 1