Match Analysis

MarseillevsNice

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
20%
29%
Marseille winDrawNice win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game2.40
2.50Avg goals scored1.92
1.40Avg goals conceded1.41
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Marseille xG

Expected goals

1.6

Nice xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

3–1

6%

1–0

5%

Home

Marseille

Marseille

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.4

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Nice

Nice

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.4

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Marseille vs Nice?

Marseille is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Marseille Win51%
Draw20%
Nice Win29%
BTTS71%
Over 2.573%