Marseille vs Paris Fc
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Marseille xG
Expected goals
1.9
Paris FC xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
9%
0–2
9%
0–3
6%
1–3
6%
Home
Marseille
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Paris FC
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Marseille vs Paris Fc?
Paris FC is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Marseille's current form?
Marseille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Ligue 1 meetings, Marseille won 1, drew 1, and Paris Fc won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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