Match Analysis

NicevsLens

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
23%
32%
Nice winDrawLens win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.20
1.91Avg goals scored1.65
1.41Avg goals conceded1.30
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Nice xG

Expected goals

1.5

Lens xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Nice

Nice

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.4

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Lens

Lens

LLWLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nice vs Lens?

Nice is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nice's current form?

Nice have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nice Win45%
Draw23%
Lens Win32%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%