Nice vs Lille
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Nice xG
Expected goals
0.6
Lille xG
12%
Both Teams to Score
6%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
41%
0–1
24%
1–0
12%
0–2
7%
1–1
7%
1–2
2%
Home
Nice
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.6 / 0.8
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Lille
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Nice vs Lille?
Lille is favored with a 30% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Nice's current form?
Nice have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Nice won 1, drew 4, and Lille won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (41% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 12%. Over 2.5 goals: 6%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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