Nice vs Lorient
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Nice xG
Expected goals
0.9
Lorient xG
30%
Both Teams to Score
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
20%
0–1
18%
1–0
14%
1–1
13%
0–2
8%
1–2
6%
Home
Nice
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.6 / 0.8
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Lorient
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Nice vs Lorient?
Lorient is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Nice's current form?
Nice have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Nice won 1, drew 2, and Lorient won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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